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Autism Diagnoses Shown to Be Highly Stable as Early as 14 Months

Autism Diagnoses Shown to Be Highly Stable as Early as 14 Months

A new study supports the idea of early screening and treatment for autism spectrum disorder (ASD), as clinical diagnoses in children as young as 14 months have proven remarkably stable.

The findings are published in the journal JAMA Pediatrics.

Growing evidence suggests ASD may begin in the womb — most likely during the first or second trimester of pregnancy — and children often begin to show symptoms by their first birthdays, such as failing to respond to their names or positively engage with others.

Early diagnosis of ASD means earlier intervention. “The sooner you can address issues of ASD, the better the outcome for the child,” said the study’s first author, Karen Pierce, Ph.D., professor of neurosciences and co-director of the University of California (UC) San Diego Autism Center of Excellence. She led the study with senior author Eric Courchesne, Ph.D., also a professor of neurosciences.

Several studies, including those conducted by Pierce, have found that simple parent checklists performed at the child’s first birthday can identify symptoms of ASD. And yet the mean age of ASD diagnoses in the United States, write the researchers, is “often years later, generally between ages three and four.”

The lag between the first signs of ASD and diagnosis represents a missed opportunity, Pierce said, particularly given the accelerated pace of brain development in the first years of life.

“Synaptic density or connections between neurons in the prefrontal and temporal cortex, brain regions centrally involved in higher order social behavior, doubles between birth and one to two years in age,” said Pierce. “It’s conceivable that outcomes for children with autism could be improved if treatment occurred during this period of rapid brain growth, rather than after, which is more commonly the case.”

The study involved 1,269 toddlers (441 ASD, 828 non-ASD) who received their first diagnostic evaluation between 12 and 36 months and at least one subsequent evaluation, all by licensed psychologists. Diagnoses ranged from ASD and features of ASD to language and developmental delay or other developmental issues.

The overall stability for ASD diagnoses was higher than for any other diagnostic group: only 1.8 percent of toddlers initially considered to have ASD transitioned to later diagnoses of typical development. Within the group diagnosed with ASD, the most common transition was from ASD to ASD features at 9 percent.

Twenty-four percent of toddlers were not designated as ASD at their first evaluations, but later identified. The most common transition in this group was an initial designation of developmental delay (25 percent) or language delay (16 percent), transitioning to later-onset ASD.

“Our findings suggest that an ASD diagnosis becomes stable starting at 14 months, and overall is more stable than other diagnoses, such as language or developmental delay,” said Pierce. “Once a toddler is identified as ASD, there is an extremely low chance that he or she will test within typical levels at age three or four, so it’s imperative that we use every effective tool as early as we can to begin treating diagnosed children to the benefit of them and their families over the long-term.”

Source: University of California- San Diego


Autism Diagnoses Shown to Be Highly Stable as Early as 14 Months

Traci Pedersen

Traci Pedersen is a professional writer with over a decade of experience. Her work consists of writing for both print and online publishers in a variety of genres including science chapter books, college and career articles, and elementary school curriculum.

APA Reference
Pedersen, T. (2019). Autism Diagnoses Shown to Be Highly Stable as Early as 14 Months. Psych Central. Retrieved on September 26, 2020, from
Scientifically Reviewed
Last updated: 1 May 2019 (Originally: 1 May 2019)
Last reviewed: By a member of our scientific advisory board on 1 May 2019
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