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Positive Thinking On The Future May Backfire Later

Positive Thinking On The Future May Backfire Later

Provocative new research suggests positive fantasies about how future events will turn out can help you feel good in the present, but they may actually lead to increased depressive symptoms in the long run.

This finding leads investigators to question many programs that accentuate the power of positive thinking. They believe maintaining a realistic sense of perspective in the present could help a person maintain an emotional balance as time progresses.

The findings have been published in Psychological Science, a journal of the Association for Psychological Science.

“Our findings suggest that as pleasurable and helpful as positive fantasies are for depressive mood in the moment, they can be problematic and cumbersome over time,” said lead researcher Dr. Gabriele Oettingen of New York University.

In a series of four studies, Oettingen and colleagues Drs. Doris Mayer (University of Hamburg) and Sam Portnow (University of Virginia) found that the more positively participants fantasized about the future, the fewer depressive symptoms they showed at that moment but the more symptoms they showed at a follow-up session.

This pattern of results emerged when the researchers tested both adults and children and over follow-up periods that ranged from one month up to seven months after the initial session.

In one study, the researchers asked 88 undergraduate students to imagine themselves in 12 different open-ended scenarios. The students were given a prompt for the scenario and were told to imagine how the scenarios would play out.

The participants wrote down whatever thoughts and images came to mind and rated how positive and how negative these fantasies were.

Oettingen and colleagues found that the college students who came up with more positive fantasies had lower scores on a scale measuring depressive symptoms; that is, at that moment, they seemed to be less depressed than their peers.

However, when the students completed the scale again one month later, they showed higher depressive symptoms relative to students who had imagined more negative scenarios.

The researchers saw similar results in a study they conducted with 109 fourth- and fifth-graders, finding that children who reported more positive fantasies had fewer symptoms at the initial session but more symptoms seven months later in comparison to children who reported more negative fantasies.

Additional findings indicate that individual effort (or motivation to work) may help to explain, at least in part, the link between positive fantasies and depressive symptoms.

College students who reported positive fantasies tended to report putting less effort into their coursework; this was, in turn, associated with lower grades and higher depression scores.

Given the correlational nature of these studies, further experimental research would be needed to determine whether there is a direct causal link between positive fantasies and depressive symptoms in the long term.

But, according to the researchers, the findings suggest that positive fantasies are a risk factor for depressed mood over time.

These results could be particularly important in light of the popular focus on positive thinking as a key part of the popular self-help industry.

“The modern era is marked by a push for ever-positive thinking, and the self-help market fueled by a reliance on such positive thinking is a $9.6 billion industry that continues to grow,” Oettingen and colleagues note in their paper.

“Our findings raise questions of how costly this market may be for people’s long-term well-being and for society as a whole.”

Investing in positive fantasies, the researchers argue, may prevent us from acknowledging the obstacles that stand in the way of reaching our goals and undertaking strategies to surmount them.

“Positive fantasies must be complemented with a good sense of reality,” said Oettingen.

Source: Association for Psychological Science
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Positive Thinking On The Future May Backfire Later

Rick Nauert PhD

Rick Nauert, PhDDr. Rick Nauert has over 25 years experience in clinical, administrative and academic healthcare. He is currently an associate professor for Rocky Mountain University of Health Professionals doctoral program in health promotion and wellness. Dr. Nauert began his career as a clinical physical therapist and served as a regional manager for a publicly traded multidisciplinary rehabilitation agency for 12 years. He has masters degrees in health-fitness management and healthcare administration and a doctoral degree from The University of Texas at Austin focused on health care informatics, health administration, health education and health policy. His research efforts included the area of telehealth with a specialty in disease management.

APA Reference
Nauert PhD, R. (2018). Positive Thinking On The Future May Backfire Later. Psych Central. Retrieved on September 20, 2020, from
Scientifically Reviewed
Last updated: 8 Aug 2018 (Originally: 2 Feb 2016)
Last reviewed: By a member of our scientific advisory board on 8 Aug 2018
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