Gambler’s Fallacy

By Renée Grinnell

The belief that unexpected behaviors or outcomes will be “evened out” by opposite unexpected behaviors or outcomes later on.

Example: If a fair die is tossed multiple times and lands on 5 several times in a row, many people would guess that 5 is less likely to turn up in the next few tosses.


    Last reviewed: By John M. Grohol, Psy.D. on 6 Jan 2009