the illusion of confidenceWe often overestimate our abilities, and overestimate the abilities of others who exude confidence.  Are we correct in thinking the athlete who radiates confidence must be competent in her/his sport?  The salesman who speaks with extensive knowledge and confidence must know what they are talking about, right?

These scenarios are often manifestations of the illusion of confidence.

Confidence is often considered a “true” signal of the extent of one’s memory, knowledge, skill, and ability.  However, confidence is often misleading and not congruent with ability.  This type of unwarranted confidence leads to “epistemic irrationality,” or more commonly known as simply delusion and self-deception.

3 Comments to
The Illusion of Confidence

Before posting, please read our blog moderation guidelines. The comments below begin with the oldest comments first. Click on the last comments page to jump to the most recent comments.

  1. true confidence whispers

  2. Oh, Alistair: Lovely, lovely

    Whispering here :)

  3. Great comment Alistair!

    Here’s a relevant quote from a book called Pompeii by Robert Harris:

    “What was leadership, after all, but the blind choice of one route over another and the confident pretence that the decision was based on reason?”

Join the Conversation!

Before posting, please read our blog moderation guidelines.

Post a Comment:


(Required, will be published)

(Required, but will not be published)

(Optional)

Recent Comments
  • Fight Depression: thank you for the wonderful description.
  • acaw: Although you might be correct to identify a certain infantilism in some men these days, you go astray in...
  • mom of 4: Well, my experience with my son’s ODD agrees with pretty much everything on here. I am going to write...
  • Diimund: Just about everything bad that could happen to a person in their life has happened to me – accept that...
  • monica: We are not talking about normal behavior issues here. Thèse are kids WHO get so angry they punch holes in...
Subscribe to Our Weekly Newsletter


Find a Therapist
Enter ZIP or postal code