Comments on
The Illusion of Confidence

We often overestimate our abilities, and overestimate the abilities of others who exude confidence.  Are we correct in thinking the athlete who radiates confidence must be competent in her/his sport?  The salesman who speaks with extensive knowledge and confidence must know what they are talking about, right?

These scenarios are often manifestations of the illusion of confidence.

Confidence is often considered a “true” signal of the extent of one’s memory, knowledge, skill, and ability.  However, confidence is often misleading and not congruent with ability.  This type of unwarranted confidence leads to “epistemic irrationality,” or more commonly known as simply delusion and self-deception.

3 Comments to
The Illusion of Confidence

The comments below begin with the oldest comments first. (If there's more than one page, click on the last comments page to jump to the most recent comments.) Jump to reply form.

  1. true confidence whispers

  2. Oh, Alistair: Lovely, lovely

    Whispering here :)

  3. Great comment Alistair!

    Here’s a relevant quote from a book called Pompeii by Robert Harris:

    “What was leadership, after all, but the blind choice of one route over another and the confident pretence that the decision was based on reason?”


Join the Conversation!

We invite you to share your thoughts and tell us what you think in this public forum. Before posting, please read our blog moderation guidelines. A first name or pseudonym is required and will be displayed with your comment. Your email address is also required, but will be kept private. (Please note that we use gravatars here, which are tied to your email address.) A website/blog/twitter address is optional.

Post a Comment: